empty
30.05.2025 10:33 AM
Markets Demand an Appeal

The S&P 500 started the day strong but ended on a downbeat note. Initially buoyed by the U.S. Court of International Trade's ruling that the White House's tariffs were illegal, along with upbeat quarterly earnings from NVIDIA, the broad market index gapped higher at the open. However, once news broke that the tariffs would remain in effect pending an appeal to the Supreme Court—and that the U.S. administration had a "Plan B"—stocks quickly reversed course and sold off.

Cancelled and Remaining U.S. Tariffs

This image is no longer relevant

The U.S. administration is confident it will win the appeal. Even if it loses, there are other legislative tools it can rely on to reinstate tariffs. In short, the trade war isn't over. The S&P 500's reaction reflected the realization that the Court's verdict only presents a temporary hurdle for the White House. President Trump himself was outraged—how could judges inflict such harm on America? Is it personal animosity against Trump? What other explanation could there be?

Another reason for the S&P 500's roller-coaster ride is growing uncertainty. Companies have adapted to the tariffs, which has helped the index post its best May performance since November 2023. However, the Court's decision could harden the positions of other countries in trade negotiations with the U.S. Moreover, removing the tariffs would strip the U.S. of an important funding source for Trump's "Big Beautiful" tax cut bill. And the bill includes a particularly alarming detail for investors:

The proposal calls for raising tax rates on residents of countries deemed by the U.S. to have discriminatory policies. The logic is clear—foreigners hold trillions of dollars in U.S. assets, and higher taxes would funnel serious money into the budget.

Dynamics of the U.S. Asset Holdings by Non-Residents

This image is no longer relevant

However, non-residents are already spooked by the uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies. New taxes could drive them away completely, leaving the U.S. without buyers for its Treasury bonds. Financing the huge budget deficit would then become a major challenge, threatening both the economy and stock market indices.

This image is no longer relevant

Donald Trump also discussed rate cuts during a meeting with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Trump pointed out that Powell was making a mistake by not lowering interest rates, placing the U.S. at a disadvantage compared to China and other countries. Yet at the same time, the president's pressure on the central bank only adds to investor anxiety. Undermining the Fed's independence is yet another reason for eroding confidence in America.

Technical Picture

Technically, nothing has drastically changed on the daily S&P 500 chart. The risks of forming a 1-2-3 reversal pattern remain intact. Breaks below the 5860 and 5815 support levels could serve as new signals to sell the broad market index.

Marek Petkovich,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Currently, the price of gold remains confined within a weekly range. The key factors supporting price growth include a decision by the U.S. federal appellate court to uphold President Donald

Irina Yanina 18:35 2025-06-11 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

At this stage, the Japanese yen continues to trade within an intraday consolidation range, approaching the two-week low against the U.S. dollar reached yesterday. The main factors influencing the movement

Irina Yanina 18:33 2025-06-11 UTC+2

EUR/GBP. Analysis and Forecast

However, at this point, it lacks follow-through buying, despite a fundamental backdrop that suggests the path of least resistance for spot prices lies to the upside. The weak performance

Irina Yanina 11:38 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Results of the Second Round of U.S.–China Negotiations

The United States and China have concluded two days of important trade negotiations with a plan to resume the flow of sensitive goods — this framework now awaits approval from

Jakub Novak 11:32 2025-06-11 UTC+2

The U.S. and China: A Small Step Forward. What's Next? (Potential for a reversal and decline in EUR/USD and NZD/USD pairs)

Representatives from the United States and China have reached a framework agreement on trade following two days of high-level talks in London. But why isn't there a sense of euphoria

Pati Gani 09:52 2025-06-11 UTC+2

The Market Approaches Its Rubicon

The devil is in the details—and the U.S. and China haven't provided investors with those details regarding their newly reached deal. This lack of transparency risks cutting off the momentum

Marek Petkovich 09:18 2025-06-11 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 11? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. Therefore, any sharp reversal or strengthening of movement may only occur at the start of the U.S. trading session, when

Paolo Greco 06:10 2025-06-11 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 11. What Will Inflation Influence?

The GBP/USD currency pair fell sharply in the first half of Tuesday but retraced back to its original position in the second half. Traders may have assumed in the morning

Paolo Greco 03:31 2025-06-11 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 11: Even News About Negotiations Doesn't Help the Dollar

The EUR/USD currency pair continued trading sluggishly on Tuesday, maintaining an upward bias. The macroeconomic backdrop has been absent for two days in a row, but there have been some

Paolo Greco 03:31 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Japan Hopes for a Positive Outcome in Trade Negotiations—Otherwise, Recession and Rising Inflation Loom

The revised estimate of Japan's Q1 GDP showed that the economy contracted less than previously estimated, with consumption figures also revised upward. GDP declined by 0.2% year-over-year instead

Kuvat Raharjo 00:21 2025-06-11 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.