empty
20.05.2025 05:08 AM
EUR/USD Forecast for May 20, 2025

Following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on Friday, yesterday saw downgrades of major U.S. banks as well—Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Wells Fargo—from Aa1 to Aa2. Treasury Secretary S. Bessent rightly called the agency a "lagging indicator," and markets barely reacted to the move: the S&P 500 rose 0.09%, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields held at 4.45% (same as May 13), and the U.S. Dollar Index dropped by 0.36%, a move that is difficult to describe as a reaction and aligns with the prevailing medium-term trend. We do not doubt that events are accumulating, ultimately leading to a major market collapse and economic crisis, though not in the short term.

This image is no longer relevant

On the daily chart, resistance at 1.1266 was pierced by the upper shadow. Tuesday began with a rise, but the Monday gap remains unclosed. If the price consolidates above 1.1266 and then continues higher to surpass 1.1535, a bearish divergence with the Marlin oscillator will form, which could lead to a sharp return to below 1.0955, not only closing the gap but also crushing the hopes of euro optimists.

This image is no longer relevant

On the H4 chart, the price is attempting to climb above the indicator lines, signaling an intention to break through 1.1266. The Marlin oscillator is also rising, but unless the price consolidates above 1.1266, a sharp drop toward 1.1150 remains possible, potentially clearing the way for more stable growth (which does not rule out a crash later).

The gap is small, and it is either nonexistent or already closed on other currencies. Therefore, the main criterion is whether the price consolidates above the 1.1266 resistance level.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis, Forecast, and Current Market Situation

Gold is maintaining a bearish intraday tone today.Oscillators on the daily chart are just beginning to show negative momentum, indicating the potential for further declines in the metal's price

Irina Yanina 12:50 2025-07-07 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on July 7, 2025

On Friday, the EUR/USD pair traded very weakly, with trader activity extremely low due to the U.S. Independence Day. As a result, no trading signals, important breakouts, or other chart

Samir Klishi 11:48 2025-07-07 UTC+2

GBP/USD. July 7th. Bulls Defend the 1.3611 Level

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair traded sideways on Friday. Today, a new rebound from the support zone of 1.3611–1.3633 could give traders hope for a reversal in favor

Samir Klishi 11:15 2025-07-07 UTC+2

AUD weakens against USD but there is potential for a temporary strengthening retracement, Monday, July 7, 2025.

AUD/USD – Monday, Monday, July 7, 2025. With the potential for escalation of the global tariff trade war, demand for the USD currency as a safe haven has increased, making

Arief Makmur 08:52 2025-07-07 UTC+2

USD strengthens again against Yen despite potential correction in the near future, Monday, July 7, 2025.

USD/JPY – Monday, July 7, 2025. With the release of positive US economic data and the BOJ's policy stance remaining Dovish, today USD/JPY has the potential to strengthen. Key Levels

Arief Makmur 08:52 2025-07-07 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for July 7, 2025

On the weekly chart, the price has precisely reached the intersection point of the Fibonacci ray and the upper boundary of the price channel. This occurred on the first

Laurie Bailey 06:24 2025-07-07 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for July 7, 2025

On Thursday and Friday, the pound traded within a narrow range between the support level of 1.3635 and the resistance of the daily MACD line. This morning, the price

Laurie Bailey 06:21 2025-07-07 UTC+2

USD/JPY Forecast for July 7, 2025

USD/JPYFollowing a 126-point surge driven by strong U.S. labor market data, which pushed the quote above the balance indicator line, the pair closed below this line on Friday. Today began

Laurie Bailey 06:15 2025-07-07 UTC+2

EUR/USD. July 4th. Bears continue to retreat from the market

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded once again from the 1.1802 level and declined almost to the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1712. As of Friday morning, the pair

Samir Klishi 10:53 2025-07-04 UTC+2

Forex forecast 04/07/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, SP500 and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:51 2025-07-04 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.