empty
 
 
09.03.2023 02:07 PM
US premarket on March 9: Traders bet on stock market's decline
US stock index futures fell and Treasury yields remained around the key 4% level as investors continue to fear rising interest rates and an impending recession in the US. S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.3% and Nasdaq futures declined by 0.6%. The European Stoxx 600 was also down by about 0.5%.

This image is no longer relevant

Investors continue to digest Jerome Powell's signals after the Federal Reserve chief told lawmakers that no decision has yet been made on the pace of future rate hikes. However, he reiterated that an acceleration of tightening was expected, and peak rates could be higher than expected if economic data demand it. "We have not made any decision yet about the March meeting," Powell told the House Financial Services committee. "If — and I stress that no decision has been made on this — but if the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we'd be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes," he said.

Notably, Powell's statements were softer than the ones he made in front of the Senate. All this comes before the next round of US jobs data, which exceeded economists' expectations in January and is likely to surprise many traders with their February growth.

The data will come out tomorrow afternoon, bolstering bets that Fed policymakers have no choice but to return to aggressive rate hikes.

The inversion between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury bond yields, which is considered a reliable sign of a recession, fell to about 106 basis points. On Wednesday, the indicator surpassed 110 basis points, the highest in more than four decades.

Friday's jobs report is an important event for the markets, and stronger-than-forecast numbers are likely to cause market participants to revise their expectations for the pace of rate hikes at the March 21-22 Fed meeting. Economists are predicting an increase of 225,000 jobs in February, about half the number seen in January. Importantly, even that figure suggests that the US economy continues to create jobs at a strong pace.

This image is no longer relevant

Crude oil prices are down for the third straight day due to expectations of higher rates.

As for the S&P 500 index, the pressure on risky assets remains. The index may rise only if bulls manage to get above $4,010 today. After that, they are likely to drag the price higher to $4,038. Bulls also need to control the level of $4,064, which will allow them to cancel the bear market. After that, we can expect a more confident surge to $4,001. If the index declines amid strong labor market statistics and a lack of demand, bulls will have to protect $3,970. If this level is broken through, the trading instrument may be pushed down to $3,950 and $3,920.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In April we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback