empty
16.06.2025 12:18 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold is currently holding on to its intraday losses. Overall positive sentiment in the stock markets is undermining demand for bullion. However, a combination of factors is preventing bears from taking aggressive positions, helping the metal stay above the key psychological level of $3400.

The continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East keeps pressuring market optimism, heightening concerns about global instability. At the same time, the growing expectation that the Federal Reserve will further reduce borrowing costs in 2025 is keeping the U.S. dollar from strengthening. This, in turn, is helping to limit gold's downside.

From a technical standpoint, Friday's breakout above the round $3400 level and positive oscillators on the daily chart favor XAU/USD bulls. Therefore, any further corrective pullback can be seen as a buying opportunity, with downside likely to remain limited around the $3400 level. However, a drop below this level would pave the way for deeper losses toward the $3370 level. A decisive break below this zone would invalidate the constructive outlook, shifting the short-term bias in favor of the bears.

On the other hand, momentum beyond the Asian session high in the $3455–3453 level would allow the precious metal to target a retest of the all-time high at the psychological $3500 level, reached in April. A decisive move beyond that level could act as a new trigger for the bulls, paving the way for an extension of the recently well-established uptrend.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Forecast for EUR/USD on September 24, 2025

On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued to trade slightly above the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the next 127.2% retracement level at 1.1896

Samir Klishi 10:55 2025-09-24 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on September 24, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair traded sideways on Tuesday slightly above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3482. Thus, the growth process may continue toward the next 100.0% retracement

Samir Klishi 10:49 2025-09-24 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Indicator analysis on September 24, 2025

On Tuesday, the pair, moving upward on the news, tested the 8-period EMA at 1.3535 (thin red line) and then pulled back slightly, closing the daily candle at 1.3521. Today

Stefan Doll 10:15 2025-09-24 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Indicator analysis on September 24, 2025

On Tuesday, the pair, moving upward on the news, nearly tested the historical resistance level of 1.1828 (blue dotted line) and then pulled back slightly, closing the daily candle

Stefan Doll 10:13 2025-09-24 UTC+2

As long as it does not break and close below Support 2, Silver is likely to strengthen. Wednesday, September 24, 2025.

[Silver] – [Wednesday, September 25, 2025] With both EMAs in a Golden Cross configuration, even though the RSI is at a Neutral-Bearish level, Silver is expected to continue moving

Arief Makmur 07:51 2025-09-24 UTC+2

AUD/JPY has the potential to strengthen up to its nearest resistance today. Wednesday, September 24, 2025.

[AUD/USD] – [Wednesday, September 24, 2025] Although the EMA(50) and EMA(200) are still in a Death Cross configuration, the RSI being in the Extreme-Bullish area gives AUD/USD the potential

Arief Makmur 07:51 2025-09-24 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on September 24, 2025

EUR/USD Over the past day, the situation for the euro has hardly changed — the price is exactly where it was yesterday morning. However, the tension and anxiety around

Laurie Bailey 07:13 2025-09-24 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on September 24, 2025

GBP/USD On the daily chart, the price is squeezed between the MACD line and the resistance level of 1.3525. Yesterday's attempt to break upward failed — the decline

Laurie Bailey 07:05 2025-09-24 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for September 24-26, 2025: sell below 1.1840 (+1/8 Murray - 38 SMA)

Conversely, if the euro price breaks and consolidates above 1.1840, we could expect it to reach the top of the uptrend channel around 1.1900 or even reach the +2/8 Murray

Dimitrios Zappas 07:04 2025-09-24 UTC+2

Forecast for USD/JPY on September 24, 2025

USD/JPY After the price bounced from the resistance of the daily MACD line on Monday, it ended up below the balance indicator line. At the same time, the Marlin oscillator

Laurie Bailey 07:03 2025-09-24 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.